Wednesday, May 6, 2009

Wednesday results:

Orgryte - Brommapojkarna 1-1.

Pick half won

Statistics

Staked: 6
Returned: 8.55 units
Profit: +2.55 units

Tuesday, May 5, 2009

Wednesday tip:

Sweden: Allsvenskan
20 H CET

Orgryte (+0.25 AH) - Brommapojkarna

This is a curcial match for the hosts. They are on the 16th (last) place with 0-0-6. Already 5 points behind the number 15 in the Allsvenskan make this a must win situation for Orgryte. First of all their results are seriously improving. Yes, they are still without a win but their last two matches were just lost with 1 goal difference. Last match they took a 0-1 lead at Trelleborg, but 10 minutes after the lead they got a red card and they lost logical. I still expect them to take points in this match, they are seriously improving and it could not take a long time before they will take finally some points.

On the other side Brommapojkarna is the surprise of the competition so far. Last match they took a point at home from Elfsborg wich was a great result for them. Still I expect the guests to drop points sooner or later. This is a typical match where Brommapojkarna will lack to start agressive and motivated after last weekends great result. Many times when a team obtained a great result against a better team they slip up the next match. Still these sides havent much differences in their quality. Both played last season in the Superettan and Orgryte trashed Brommapojkarna at home with 5-0. I simply expect the hosts to bounce back after a very poor start. And except their form, they have many advantages today. For sure the line isnt correct setteled here and I see value in Orgryte +0.25 AH @ 1.85. In case of a draw we will win this pick half, if Orgryte win this match we win this our pick full and when Orgryte will loose this one we will loose our stake fully.

Pick: H, Odds: 1.85, Bookmaker: Pinnacle, Stake: 6/10